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#polling

3 innlegg3 deltakere0 innlegg i dag

"It is absolutely right to emphasize the importance of respecting #voters, and try to understand them, rather than assuming that those who disagree with you are stupid or racist. But voters are not going to tell you how to #govern the country. It is not their job. Relying on their opinions to try to deduce what to do leads not only to incoherence, but to a negative loop."

samf.substack.com/p/the-rise-o

#UKpol
#MorganMcSweeney
#keirstarmer
#polling
#governing
#PoliticalLeadership
#politicalbeliefs

Comment is Freed · The Rise of the GurusAv Sam Freedman

Republican hatred of Democrats and of separation of church and state has significantly damaged political polling because reactionary Americans are willing to lie about their opinions if they think it helps Trump.

This has been verified repeatedly regarding Trump's obvious lies about the size of his first inauguration attendance.

online.ucpress.edu/collabra/ar

Okay, so the FiveThirtyEight site for polling results is now redirecting to the ABC News politics page. This change happened recently because I checked it yesterday (though it was stuck on March 4 results).

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/p

Wikipedia has already been updated with the information:

"On March 5, 2025, the website was shut down by ABC News and the team behind it were fired. This was the first day that the site's data showed the popularity of US President Donald Trump in his second term turn negative."

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FiveThir

FiveThirtyEight · Latest PollsThe latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.

FiveThirtyEight, the website started by Nate Silver in 2007, and which shot to fame after its model predicted the 2008 U.S. election results in 49 of 50 states, is closing. This is a result of company Disney making cuts across ABC News, which acquired FiveThirtyEight in 2018 (Silver departed to start his own Silver Bulletin Substack in 2023). Here's more from NiemanLabs about what this all means.

flip.it/kj9UnO

Replied in thread

A total of 9.3% of US adults identified as LGBT in 2024, according to Gallup.

The polling firm’s results are based on phone surveys with more than 14,000 US adults in 2024.

Gallup asked respondents whether they identify as straight or heterosexual, lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender, or something else.

8/x

#LGBT#US#USA